#Decryption – United States: Presidential Election Results, what do we know so far?

On November 3rd millions of US citizens went out to vote, polls closed at 8 p.m., but due to the long lines some of them had to close until 10 p.m. “The 2020 presidential election had the highest turnout rate in 120 years”, stated the founder of the US Elections Project, Professor Michael McDonald.

A demonstrator holds a placard and a U.S. flag during the “Count the Votes! Rally for Fair Elections in the USA” organized by Young Democrats Abroad following the 2020 U.S. presidential election, next to the Brandenburg Gate, in Berlin, Germany November 4, 2020. REUTERS/Fabrizio Bensch. From BBC News.

General view
In the beginning, what seemed to be a very tight race, slowly started to show who has the most advantage. But, to this moment, neither of the candidates have cleared the electoral college votes needed to win the election; 270 votes and, there is still a very tight margin in several battleground states like Pennsylvania.

Democrats are leading this race, having already won Michigan, Wisconsin, and Minnesota. Republicans are behind, having only won Florida and Ohio. But there are still votes to count in five battleground states: North Carolina, Georgia, Arizona, Nevada, and Pennsylvania and thus being swing states, is hard to predict what the
results are going to be.

Even if there are no official results yet, Joe Biden has already beaten the record established by Barak Obama in 2006 by winning the most popular votes for the presidency with more than 70 million votes so far.

What can we expect?

President Trump’s campaign wants to request a recount in the state of Wisconsin, where Democrats won with a 49,4%, according to The Associated Press, against 48,8%. Donald Trump throughout the counting has been constantly claiming fraud and pointing out the existence of a damaged system. On the other hand, Joe Biden
has shown no opposition to a recount or to states taking their time to count every single vote, in the name of a well-functioning democracy.

President Trump has not spoken after his speech on November 4 th when the results were still very tight. On the contrary Joe Biden recently gave a speech in which he showed confidence thanks to the fact that he won the popular vote and that he was leading the results.

It is important not to forget that in 2016 Hilary Clinton also won the popular vote, but still, did not take the triumph. Even if the numbers are very different this time and it seems like Biden has the lead, the fact that there are still votes to count on the battleground states means that the numbers could still turn around. And in
addition, Trump has made clear that he will not lose easily, besides asking for a recount, his campaign has filed a lawsuit to stop vote counting in Georgia. These are acts that can either change drastically the results or simply delay them.

All this process can take a long time, for example the Secretary of State of Pennsylvania, Kathy Boockvar, has estimated that it will take days before the overwhelming majority of ballots are counted.

How is the rest of the world perceiving this event?

The PM of the UK stated “the US is our closest ally and we’re confident our special relationship will go from strength to strength”.

Generally, European leaders have remained mostly in silence since everyone is still waiting for the results. Josep Borrell, EU’s chief diplomat, spoke: “no one can claim to be the winner yet because there is no data to support that”. Germany’s defense minister has also expressed its concern for the country, and its possibility of
falling into a constitutional crisis.

According to TIME magazine, Russia, on his side, has not officially commented on this, but Konstantin Kosachev, a member of the foreign affairs committee, suggested that the Kremlin would like to avoid being further accused of interference in the 2020 election, as it was in 2016.


Fernanda Rodriguez

Press Team 

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